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Location: Arlington, Virginia, United States

Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Forget global warming: Welcome to the new Ice Age



(Thanks Nanc)

Lorne Gunter, National Post
Published: Monday, February 25, 2008

Snow cover over North America and much of Siberia, Mongolia and China is greater than at any time since 1966.

The U.S. National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) reported that many American cities and towns suffered record cold temperatures in January and early February. According to the NCDC, the average temperature in January "was -0.3 F cooler than the 1901-2000 (20th century) average.

China is surviving its most brutal winter in a century. Temperatures in the normally balmy south were so low for so long that some middle-sized cities went days and even weeks without electricity because once power lines had toppled it was too cold or too icy to repair them.

There have been so many snow and ice storms in Ontario and Quebec in the past two months that the real estate market has felt the pinch as home buyers have stayed home rather than venturing out looking for new houses.

In just the first two weeks of February, Toronto received 70 cm of snow, smashing the record of 66.6 cm for the entire month set back in the pre-SUV, pre-Kyoto, pre-carbon footprint days of 1950.

And remember the Arctic Sea ice? The ice we were told so hysterically last fall had melted to its "lowest levels on record? Never mind that those records only date back as far as 1972 and that there is anthropological and geological evidence of much greater melts in the past.

The ice is back.

Gilles Langis, a senior forecaster with the Canadian Ice Service in Ottawa, says the Arctic winter has been so severe the ice has not only recovered, it is actually 10 to 20 cm thicker in many places than at this time last year.

OK, so one winter does not a climate make. It would be premature to claim an Ice Age is looming just because we have had one of our most brutal winters in decades.

But if environmentalists and environment reporters can run around shrieking about the manmade destruction of the natural order every time a robin shows up on Georgian Bay two weeks early, then it is at least fair game to use this winter's weather stories to wonder whether the alarmist are being a tad premature.

And it's not just anecdotal evidence that is piling up against the climate-change dogma.

According to Robert Toggweiler of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory at Princeton University and Joellen Russell, assistant professor of biogeochemical dynamics at the University of Arizona -- two prominent climate modellers -- the computer models that show polar ice-melt cooling the oceans, stopping the circulation of warm equatorial water to northern latitudes and triggering another Ice Age (a la the movie The Day After Tomorrow) are all wrong.

"We missed what was right in front of our eyes," says Prof. Russell. It's not ice melt but rather wind circulation that drives ocean currents northward from the tropics. Climate models until now have not properly accounted for the wind's effects on ocean circulation, so researchers have compensated by over-emphasizing the role of manmade warming on polar ice melt.

But when Profs. Toggweiler and Russell rejigged their model to include the 40-year cycle of winds away from the equator (then back towards it again), the role of ocean currents bringing warm southern waters to the north was obvious in the current Arctic warming.

Last month, Oleg Sorokhtin, a fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, shrugged off manmade climate change as "a drop in the bucket." Showing that solar activity has entered an inactive phase, Prof. Sorokhtin advised people to "stock up on fur coats."

He is not alone. Kenneth Tapping of our own National Research Council, who oversees a giant radio telescope focused on the sun, is convinced we are in for a long period of severely cold weather if sunspot activity does not pick up soon.

The last time the sun was this inactive, Earth suffered the Little Ice Age that lasted about five centuries and ended in 1850. Crops failed through killer frosts and drought. Famine, plague and war were widespread. Harbours froze, so did rivers, and trade ceased.

It's way too early to claim the same is about to happen again, but then it's way too early for the hysteria of the global warmers, too.

16 Comments:

Blogger Kelly said...

Hey, they got snow in Dallas this week...about an inch of it.

We have had more snow this winter than I can remember in a long time. I really could use a little warming.

6:46 AM  
Blogger John said...

Of course, Dallas gets an inch of snow in March when Billary "Clinton Global (Warming) Initiative" is campaigning in Texas.

7:37 AM  
Blogger nanc said...

denton, texas is covered in snow according to a fox news alert and we're getting snow here!

now, maybe we can use all those snow toys i bought last week when it was SUPPOSED to snow...

i remember as a child in the early sixties, we'd go up to my great aunt's in forbestown, california, in the winter and the snow would be up to the eaves on a two-story house in the winter - i loved that!

12:34 PM  
Blogger Phelonius said...

Yea, we got another round of ice and snow here in Dallas as well.

3:16 PM  
Blogger John said...

Prince Charles just said that sceptics are engaging in "madness."

9:11 PM  
Blogger nanc said...

okay, so i'm not as young as i used to be and probably shouldn't have gone sliding down that SNOWCOVERED hill seven times...OUCHHHHHHHHH!

4:03 AM  
Blogger John said...

Well, all this cold is anecdotal evidence which is fun to use as interference but, as our erstwhile and learned guest Neologizer discriminated, weather phenomena does not necessarily reflect what's going on in the climate, which itself is, as he defined, the sum of weather. Therefore, the record-breaking freakishness of the cold snaps can not only actually be a confirmation of Global Warming (e.g. "the computer models that show polar ice-melt cooling the oceans, stopping the circulation of warm equatorial water to northern latitudes and triggering another Ice Age") but may indicate a pending scorcher of a summer (to offset the cold and still come out ahead on warming when all is said and done).

And as the article admitted:

"OK, so one winter does not a climate make. It would be premature to claim an Ice Age is looming just because we have had one of our most brutal winters in decades."

7:53 AM  
Blogger Kelly said...

John, you might find this link interesting.

NY Conference Researcher: Basic Greenhouse Equations “Totally Wrong”

Included in that link is this link that is the basis for it.

10:09 AM  
Blogger Phelonius said...

Well, one thing I have learned is to never question the opinion of the English Royalty.

If Prince Charles says it is right then it just must be so.

(HACK.....SPIT)

I think he is just whistling Dixie....

8:10 PM  
Blogger John said...

In any event, it has been the coldest winter in modern history, so I understand why the "experts" avoid using "Global Warming" and now opt for "climate change."

12:13 PM  
Blogger nanc said...

oh my! the pope weighs in on planet stewardship!

7:17 AM  
Anonymous dr. evil farmer john said...

Give me $100 billion dollars or I'll sink seventeen tankers full of iron ore into the Antarctic Ocean thereby plunging this planet into the next Ice Age!

12:31 PM  
Blogger John said...

Nanc: That's okay. Benedict is calling for responsible stewardship and if the left want to applaud his infallibility on that, they have to be consistent and recognize his infallibility on the staunchly conservative stance he takes on other things.

Dr. Evil: $100 billion? You've been on ice for too long. These days, a diabolical scheme of that magnitude can easily extort ONE TRILLION DOLLARS.

5:30 PM  
Blogger nanc said...

john - enjoy!

9:10 AM  
Blogger John said...

Thank you for my next post Nanc. :)

8:39 PM  
Blogger nanc said...

i AM the blog librarian...

*8]

9:05 AM  

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